BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Howard Payne

Class: 3 Class Rank: 104 Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   68.12
Conference: American Southwest Conference Record: (2-4) | District: 3-01 Record: (4-5)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 09/04/2025 Home    W   *  69.07  21  13    3 129 ( 3- 7) Pacific OR              3.15     -1.18    4.85                      
 2 09/13/2025 Away    W   *  84.48  28  18    3  87 ( 6- 4) Texas Lutheran         18.55      3.14   -8.55                      
 3 09/20/2025 Home    L      63.57  18  21   NA  60 ( 6- 3) Wayland Baptist        -2.35     30.35   -0.65                      
 4 09/27/2025 Away    L   *  66.15  24  31    3 109 ( 6- 4) McMurry                 0.23      4.66   -7.23                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    L * *  46.57  14  69    3  16 ( 9- 2) Hardin-Simmons        -19.35 *  -16.03  -35.65                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    W * *  80.54  36  18    3 125 ( 4- 6) East Texas Baptist     14.62     -7.41    3.38                      
 7 10/25/2025 Away    L * *  71.80  17  41    3  24 ( 7- 3) Mary Hardin-Baylor      5.87    -16.55  -29.87                      
 8 11/01/2025 Home    L * *  67.71  24  54    3  16 ( 9- 2) Hardin-Simmons          1.79 *  -18.23  -31.79                      
 9 11/08/2025 Away    W * *  73.40  34  27    3 125 ( 4- 6) East Texas Baptist      7.48      4.11   -0.48                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    L * *  35.93   9  65    3  24 ( 7- 3) Mary Hardin-Baylor    -29.99    -16.47  -26.01                      
      Averages              65.92  22.5 35.7

Best game:   84.48 = 10 point win over Texas Lutheran
Worst game:  35.93 = 56 point loss to Mary Hardin-Baylor
Team stdev:  14.69